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         for
participants in the Microsoft Corporation 401(k) Plan
 
DISCLAIMERS
No Plan Provider Liability All information and material in this newsletter and on our company's website is provided as a service to Pariveda clients and prospective clients. Pariveda has neither relationships with, nor endorsements from, the companies whose 401(k) plans we monitor and evaluate. Pariveda, Inc. retains sole responsibility for, and right to, all content appearing in this newsletter and on the Pariveda website.

Company Stock Recommendations Pariveda may provide opinions, advice and recommendations on a company's stock if the retirement plan includes it as an investment option for plan participants. Investors considering Parivea's stock-specific advice are advised that our views may differ significantly from those expressed by other advisors or the company itself. It is the investor's responsibility to evaluate Pariveda's advice, as well as alternative sources of information and opinion, in the context of their personal financial situation before coming to an independent decision on whether the company's stock merits investement at any time.

Inside Information Plan participants are further advised that they cannot purchase or sell company stock on the basis of material, non-public inside information. Futhermore, as set forth in our "Insider Trading Policy" if Pariveda employees or anyone affiliated with our company comes into possession of inside information through relationships with individuals affiliated with companies whose retirement palns we cover, we are restricted from using that information on behalf of anyone, including Pariveda clients.

No Implied Guarantees While we continually strive to add value through our recommendations, historical model performance numbers noted in this newsletter and on the company's website are not guarantees of future results and should not be interpreted as such.

MODEL PERFORMANCE

Perfomance Disclosures

 

Gross Returns  The returns an individual following Pariveda's 401k Advisor recommendations would have achieved independently.

 

Net-of-Fee Returns    The returns an individual would have achieved if Pariveda had managed their account following the 401k

Advisor model recommendations, net of advisory fees of 0.60% per year (our highest standard fee).



CURRENT MODEL PORTFOLIOS
Model Portfolios - as of October 13, 2008 Model Portfolios - as of October 13, 2008
Submitted by bmurphy. on 10-10-2008.

Our Microsoft model portfolios are being updated as of October 13th this quarter due to the extreme market selloff occurring in the first few days of the quarter. While it's tempting to try to 'pick the lows' or 'go to cash', all investors need to give serious thought to their optimal investment horizon, whether that dovetails with their ability to withstand being wrong in the short-term, and the time they are able or willing to commit to watching positions.
INVESTMENT OPTIONS COMMENTARY
Model Portfolios - as of October 13, 2008 Model Portfolios - as of October 13, 2008
Submitted by bmurphy. on 10-10-2008.

Our Microsoft model portfolios are being updated as of October 13th this quarter due to the extreme market selloff occurring in the first few days of the quarter. While it's tempting to try to 'pick the lows' or 'go to cash', all investors need to give serious thought to their optimal investment horizon, whether that dovetails with their ability to withstand being wrong in the short-term, and the time they are able or willing to commit to watching positions.
Model Trades - October 10, 2008 Model Trades - October 10, 2008
Submitted by bmurphy. on 10-10-2008.

Specific trades needed to get from last quarter’s to our current model portfolios can be found here.
Quarterly Performance Review - October 10, 2008 Quarterly Performance Review - October 10, 2008
Submitted by bmurphy. on 10-10-2008.

For the period June 30, 2008 through October 10th, 2008 all Pariveda 401(k) Advisor model portfolios based on the Microsoft 401(k) plan lost significant value and just performed in line with their benchmarks, net of hypothetical fees. That's not what we would have hoped for, nor expected, given our defensive positioning.
Cumulative Performance - as of October 10, 2008 Cumulative Performance - as of October 10, 2008
Submitted by bmurphy. on 10-10-2008.

Of all the plans we cover, this is the most difficult, but we’ll continue onward undaunted.
MARKET COMMENTARY & THOUGHTS
Can We Just Get On With It? Can We Just Get On With It?
Submitted by bmurphy. on 07-13-2008.

After three quarters of grinding lower, it’s not clear the ultimate loss of wealth at the bottom of this market cycle will be the most painful aspect for investors. Instead it could very well be the time it takes to get there.
Today's Opportunities - July 1, 2008 Today's Opportunities - July 1, 2008
Submitted by bmurphy. on 07-12-2008.

Opportunities are developing in the preferred stock and fixed income arenas as credit conditions continue to deteriorate. Municipal bonds look extremely timely from a strategic perspective, especially for investors nearing retirement in higher-tax states such as California.
Today's Opportunities - April 1, 2008 Today's Opportunities - April 1, 2008
Submitted by bmurphy. on 04-13-2008.

Most of our selected funds continue to turn in solid relative performance in a down market, and that’s great. With our current downturn showing a bounce early in Q2, now is a good time to review your portfolio. This quarter we’re taking five funds off our selected list and recommending selling four of them. We’d recommend looking at the following sectors for inclusion in portfolios at this time: bear market funds (small positions only), Africa/Middle East (low correlation w/ U.S.), Mortgage & Municipal Bonds.
Today's Opportunities - January 1, 2008 Today's Opportunities - January 1, 2008
Submitted by bmurphy. on 01-12-2008.

We’re quite pleased with the recent performance of most of the funds on our opportunities list for retail investors. For the most part, they far exceeded the U.S. stock market’s 5.14% increase in 2007 and continue to be adding value relative to their respective benchmarks.

If you have any questions on the above analysis, or would like Pariveda to review your personal situation in more detail, feel free to contact us at MSFT401k@pariveda.com

Until next quarter, best wishes for continued success!

 

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